Archive for February, 2007

February 19th 2007

Swing Trade - Long EBAY 33.80 Stop: 32.68 Target: 40+

EBAY caught my eye because it too is also forming an ascending triangle. swing_trade_ebay_21907.png EBAY only has a billion shares in its float. Again, way more than I typically look for, but I like the gap up and then the ascending triangle also looks good. If the NASDAQ breaks through 2500, I think EBAY and CTSH will position me well for the up move.

3 Comments »

February 19th 2007

Swing Trade - Short GOOG Entry: 459.22 Stop: 470.15 Target: 428.00

I hope Google doesn't take it personally that I am looking to short their stock. I mean when the google bot comes to index this site, do you think this trade will piss it off? Honestly, I don't think I have the balls to short this stock. It moves really fast and the spread is usually so large, my fills are always shit. swing_trade_goog_21907.png The bear flag is kind of steep, but This GOOG trade has a nice risk reward ratio.

No Comments yet »

February 18th 2007

Swing Trade - Long AER and TIVO: Update

Monday the US markets are closed. I'm taking this long weekend to do some extra research and work on this site. I wanted to give a quick update on two trades that are featured on this blog. AER was featured on 2/13 for the ascending triangle that it was carving out. swing_trade_aer_021707.png As I look at the chart from Friday, it appears the triangle formation is starting to break down. I am keeping my entry at 27.35, but AER will need to breakout on this leg up or I will turn my attention elsewhere. The TIVO trade was featured on 2/13 and is showing some strength with the stock's breakout. Volume on Thursday was over twice the 30 day moving average. With any breakout, I want to see the stock really move. On Friday the stock took a break on lower volume. This is still positive, but for me to stay in the position, I'm going to need to see continued upward movement. Especially since the stock has no earnings, no real fundamental reason for the stock to keep going. swing_trade_tivo_021707.png I am going to assume that a uptrending market will keep TIVO moving in the right direction. My method would dictate that the stock can consolidate sideways or setup a 123 formation. If the stock shows any weakness on Tuesday, I'm out. If TIVO stalls at its the 200 day SMA at 6.52, I'm taking off 50% of my position. Monday I'm going to be busy looking for more longs. If the NASDAQ breaks through 2500, I want to have some trades to take advantage. If the markets go south, I should make some decent gains on the WYNN trade.

No Comments yet »

February 17th 2007

Swing Trade - Short XMSR: Post Trade Analysis

The XMSR swing trade setup, but I didn't get the coorperation from the NASDAQ that I wanted. Based on the NASDAQ's continued upward movement, the expectation was that the XMSR trade would end up being breakeven and it was. I do have to say though that XMSR provided a nice bear trap and a cup and handle pattern on the 5mn chart. I missed this day trade. Bear and Bull traps are some of my favorite setups and in a future post I'll talk about how I research and trade them. I think in the case of the XMSR trade, I was so fixated on it as a swing trade that it just didn't register as a potential bear trap when the stock gapped up on Friday. Here's XMSR on Friday. Wish I could of snagged it. day_trade_xmsr_021707.png XMSR was a speculative short. I'm not suprised I was stopped because it's so difficult to trade successfully against the market trend. What I am trying to do is get into some of these short setups at the beginning of a market correction. I'm not saying that the Dow or Nas are ready to tank, but like I've said before, the lack of volume in the Dow and the lack of direction in the NAS give me pause. Now I'm sucked into commenting on the general market again. I hate that.

No Comments yet »

February 17th 2007

Day Trade - Long ALTR: Post Trade Analysis

I featured the ALTR day trade on Friday the 16th because of the 60 minute triangle the stock formed on February 15th. day_trade_altr_021707.png I lost a few cents on this one. My plan for ALTR was to put the trade on at 21.16 and see where it would go. It looks like ALTR got to a high of 21.28 before reversing. If you drill down to a 5 minute chart, you can see that ALTR didn't find support at it's 50 period moving average. I was expecting it to bounce, but it trickled down through my entry and I bailed a few cents later. In retrospect, I should have bailed at the 11:05 bar instead of around 12:30. Using my methodology, I like to see a strong breakout consolidate sideways, not reverse and consolidate. The trade was just mismanaged. Chalk this one up to bending my rules

No Comments yet »

« Prev - Next »