Archive for March, 2007

March 14th 2007

Pissing off the Mrs.

My wife hates video games. When we first got married she would glare at me when I sat down to play anything. I guess I wasn’t spending enough time(read every freaking minute) with her or something. She’s since softened her stance on my indulgence in video gaming, but a console system is strictly forbidden.

Well, I was reading, www.Johnchow.com. His blog helps you make money online. He’s giving a way a Nintendo Wii in a contest sponsored by 1234pens.com, a maker of promotional pens. I think winning a system would be more palatable to the Mrs. So, today I have entered myself by writing this post with the prerequisite links.

Wish me luck. The drawing is at the end of the month!

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March 14th 2007

Cheering on the Bears Part II

Well, I think the second down leg of this market correction is over. Today’s action(hammer) would dictate that there will be some kind of retracement. I still think the market has more room to drop, but it will need to break and stay below 12000. Which today it was not able to do.

dow_weakness_031407.png

If we do get a third leg down, then I would expect to see a protracted retracement back up with possibly a change in trend. Unfortunately I don’t have any trades this week as I am still cleaning out from last week’s frozen pipe fiasco.

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March 13th 2007

Cheering on the Bears

What a great day. I finally got some assistance from the market with a down day on heavy volume. I’ve been anticipating more selling for some time now. Check out my WYNN Swing Trade and my Extreme Moves Post.

dow_weakness_031307.png

Tomorrow will probably be a quieter day based on the fact that the market moves in waves. Move, rest, and move will apply here. It also looks like there is more room to drop.

pcu_031307.png

PCU is headed in the right direction, but I think that it’s going to bounce here. The bottom bollinger band has been pierced and the 50 day SMA is moving up to support the price. If the market continues to tank PCU will continue to follow. The reason being there are so many people in this stock. Continued drops like today in the overall market will kick buyers out in droves. I would cover in the 58 to 60 area.

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March 12th 2007

Market Weakness Continued

Looking at a daily chart of the DOW, we’re sitting right at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Of course past performance is no guarantee of future results, but for some inexplicable reason. The market and the golden ratio work well together.

dow_market_weakness_031207.png

My last trade featured on this blog was PCU. I actually didn’t get into this trade because it gapped below my entry level. We may still see PCU breakdown, but there isn’t an entry at the moment.

I’m not seeing to much out there right now. Primarily because some burst water pips took me out of trading last week. So, this week is going to be spent getting back into the groove. It’s important to be able to recognize when you shouldn’t trade. One of my primary rules of trading is to do what I call homework. It isn’t enough for me to breeze through a couple of charts and have a plan of attack for the next day.

I spend hours pouring over charts. It’s the only way I have found I can keep focused and producing good trades. So my rule is that I require a minimum of 6 hours of analysis each day before I am “allowed” to trade the next trading session. Right now I’m down almost 40 hours with the loss of last week.

I am a believer in deliberate practice. If you want to be great, you need to practice repeatedly, over and over again for years. However, your practice isn’t enough. You need to practice with a focus on getting better each time. Your practice should be measurable and repeatable.

How do I apply this to trading? Well, I review thousands of charts through the lense of my trading methodology. The methodolgy doesn’t change. Whether I win or lose, I write post trade analysis reports on all my trades. Over the years I’ve gotten alot better at identifying trades that will work with my chosen methodlogy. It’s because of these hours that I’ve been able to get where I am. It is because of these hours that I’ll sit out this week until I can get enough practice.

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March 9th 2007

Water Pipes + Sub Zero Temperatures = No Trading for Me

I apologize for the lack of posts this week. I’ve been dealing with several frozen pipes in my home. Since I live in Northern New York, this happens more frequently that I would like.

I’ll be back on Monday.

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