Archive for March, 2007

March 6th 2007

More Market Weakness?

I'm kind of disappointed because PCU didn't give a good setup. True, it crossed the 66.50 entry point, but I don't blindly buy or sell when a stock crosses my entry. I am always looking for a pattern that will support my entry. I don't want to be entering any position after a gap, unless there's a setup like a base or a triangle intraday. swing_trade_pcu_030607.png PCU flashed a potential entry at 64.50, but gapped up today and destroyed any chance of that happening. We'll see what the market will give us in terms of more short setups. Today's gain in the DOW was overshadowed by the lack of volume. If we can get a push higher on heavier volume in the next day or two, I may rethink my short strategy. Until that happens I expect the market to bounce over the next couple of days, but ultimately head lower. market_weakness_030607.png Where is the market headed? I don't know. But what I do know is that with the added volatility, I'm enjoy day trading much more and am looking to limit my swing trades.

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March 4th 2007

Swing Trade - Short PCU Entry: 66.50 Stop: 71.05 Target: 60.50

Let's start things off tonight with PCU. I have noticed this weekend that the shorts are starting to setup. PCU is no exception by sporting a nice bear flag: swing_trade_pcu_030407.png PCU is the perfect example of my bread and butter short pattern. 1. The stock has run up 2. The stock breaks and forms a bear flag 3. Volume trends lower within the bear flag Like i stated in my extreme moves post from last week. Extreme moves give us opportunity. Everybody and their cousin has bought PCU. We can tell that from the way the stock has moved since the beginning of the year. In that time PCU has carved out a 50 percent gain. But, like the overall market, PCU is also showing weakness. It went parabolic and gapped down on heavy volume. Now we see an area of consolidation from 2/27 to 3/2. I'm putting my entry slightly below this area of consolidation. If history is any indication of things to come, PCU should head lower out of its consolidation. Of course, there are no guarantees, that's why we use stops and do our own research. There are lots of other setups going on right now. I wish I had time to throw charts up on all of them. If you have some time check out X and ATI. You'll start to see a common pattern. The market is full of shorting opportunities right now. I feel kind of evil cheering for market tops like this, assuming it is a market top. But if it turns out to be a top then we have a shorting opportunity that comes once a bear market.

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March 1st 2007

A New Look

In case you haven't noticed, I'm experimenting with new looks. I think I have a good hit with the Greenline wordpress theme. I like the green on black themes, but my last one, gunmetal, just wasn't getting it done. I think the three columns of my current theme will allow me to expand the features of this blog. Quiet day for me. I'll have more tomorrow. Until then I'll be tweaking this blog.

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