Archive for April, 2008

April 22nd 2008

Trading Success and Testosterone

Here is a story from Scientific American on trading success and testosterone.

According to the story, the traders in the study had a higher level of testosterone in their saliva on days when they beat their daily average.

The story goes on to state that the increase in testosterone led to more confidence which in turn led to more winning.

I found it amusing that the researchers warned that longer periods of testosterone make traders prone to excessive risk taking which exacerbates a bubble. You know what caused the last bubble? Highly compensated traders making huge bets with little downside risk to themselves. I mean, really, how many years of multi million dollar pay checks does it take before you’re set for life, but I digress.

Before you go to your neighborhood gym to stock up on Andros or raid granny’s medicine cabinet, let’s talk about building trading confidence legally:

The most effective step I took to build confidence in the system I wanted to trade was to get a mentor. Someone who had been there. Someone who knew the ins and outs of my chosen style of trading. I had confidence in my mentor(s) and they gave me confidence in my system. I was able to experience a variety of trading situations through their combined expertise. I was able to avoid certain pitfalls and navigate through ones into which I had fallen.

In other industries, having a mentor is standard practice. You seek them out. The relationship may only last through a certain project or be for a specific problem. So why is it not common practice in trading? Perhaps, at least for the retail trader, there’s the desire to be on your own. Another big reason is the financial one. Mentoring relationships for retail traders can cost $$$.

I think blogs can be helpful as a mentoring tool, as a mentor and protege. I love to coach people and I enjoy answering questions. It forces me to really know what I’m talking about.

Commenting on other blogs as also helped me personally. Trying to understand how others view the market, analyze setups, control their emotions.

I am skeptical by nature. So, being a protege was difficult at first. I have a hard time taking what a person says without asking questions. So, when you do get that mentor, listen to what he/she has to say, but test. Trust but verify.

Finally, maintain strict risk management discipline. I’m always saying trade small, and I know it probably gets annoying. However, it is a fundamental building block of my trading operation, and even coaches in professional leagues teach fundamentals, right?

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April 13th 2008

Vacation 4/14 through 4/18

Time to take a break. I’ll be back on 4/21. Good luck this week!

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April 11th 2008

Link Love Friday

My Trader’s Journal turned one this week! Congrats!

Momentum trader always has a slew of interesting trading ideas.

It’s always darkest before dawn

When is a recession not a recession?

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April 10th 2008

Lazy Breakouts Part II

Jeff White from thestockbandit.net has an excellent video on trading those breakouts that seem to go nowhere fast.

I routinely visit Jeff’s blog. The concepts discussed are always on topic and useful. I’ve never been a paid member of Jeff’s service, but If you’re struggling or maybe just need a boost I would be willing to be he can help.

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April 9th 2008

Lazy Breakouts

I wanted to bring your attention to a concept that the wild1 wrote about at his blog. The article is entitled Shave the Losses and the key sentence that still is in my mind is “If you are holding on to an investment/stock and you aren’t making any money off it, then why are you still holding on?”

The Wild1 made some good points about not cutting loses and that it’s important to work with losses within the context of a plan. Not cutting losses is a common problem. We all want to be right. But here’s something just as insidious. Stocks that break out and go no where. My method has a lot to do with breakouts and momentum plays. So volume and price acceleration are all critical. If the stock isn’t moving I don’t make money. If our trading capital is inventory, we need to turn it over!

The solution is as simple as adding a rule to your plan that states that X stock must move X percent within X timeframe or you exit the position. The hard part is coming up with the X’s. Testing is required. You could arbitrarily throw some numbers out there and “see how it works”, but that would be gambling.

Another way to combat a lazy breakout is to implement a rule that you will sell if the stock price touches your breakout price. A more sophisticated and potentially more effective rule might be to allow the stock to drift back into your breakout price and then add to your position when the stock reverses and heads higher. Again testing is required to come up with the best rule for your system.

The wild1 has an excellent blog that deals with investing, personal finance, and he’s even doing videos!. Make sure you check it out.

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